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An Assessment of the Strategies Implemented
 
  • May be assessed on a monetary cost benefit basis- i.e. cost of implementing strategies against savings and other benefits. The cost may be assessed in terms of the probability of the hazard event occurring again over a particular period of time and its likely severity. For example, the cost of insurance may be more than the assessment of the damage likely to be caused. Again, for example, it may be considered cheaper to exclude people and human activities from certain vulnerable areas than to implement strategies to reduce a hazard impact in that area. But whilst strategies concerned with the likely material losses resulting from a hazard impact may be assessed on a monetary cost/benefit basis, the same monetary assessment cannot be made where human lives are at risk - moral considerations have to be taken into account.
     

  • Strategies may be evaluated on the basis of the extent to which these can be adjudged to meet the needs in terms of –

    1. Reduction in vulnerability to the hazard event.

    2. Strengths and weaknesses of the emergency measures in place in the event of the hazard occurring.

    3. Immediate reconstruction measures and restoration of basic services.

    4. Strategies in place to ensure long-term reduction of the impact of an event.

 

What are the 'yardsticks' by which the strategies may be evaluated?

1. Balance of coverage of the different stages – prevention, immediate emergency measures, reconstruction and restoration of services, long-term measures.

2. Evaluation on the basis of the finances and human resources available to the agencies involved in the formulation and implementation of strategies at community/local, regional, national and in some cases international level.

3. On the basis of advances in strategy policies and implementation of them compared to those in place prior to the last hazard event.

4. By comparison with strategies in place elsewhere to meet a similar hazard event e.g. comparison on an area-to-area basis or on a wider scale - strategies in lesser-developed countries may be relatively weak when compared to those implemented in developed countries.

5. Effectiveness on the evidence of how well strategies in place reduced the impact of an actual event.

 
 Bangladesh (LEDC) Cyclone management strategies
In May 1997 a cyclone warning in the Cox's Bazaar area resulted in the evacuation of 300,000 people. The death toll was 95 which showed progress had been made in public education and warning systems.
Source: Bishop
 
Bangladesh - Cyclone Sidr November 2007

 

Source: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gFsM83pBuPc
 
Rural Devastation in Bangladesh Cyclone Sidr Aftermath

 

Source: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wOA98u4Zyfg
 
Bangladesh villages destroyed by Cyclone Sidr - 19 Nov 07

 

Source: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaiuaAt1b2k
 
How well did the strategies in place after the 1991 help to mitigate the effects of Cyclone Sidr?
 
The Affected Area

 
Cyclone Sidr slammed the highly vulnerable low lying densely populated coastal areas of Bangladesh with heavy rain, winds of up to 120 miles/hr, and a storm surge. Sidr may be the strongest cyclone to hit the country since a cyclone killed over 143,000 Bangladeshis in 1991. Although, the death toll from Sidr numbers in the hundreds but damage to homes, crops and livelihoods could be extensive. Under a Cyclone Preparedness Program, volunteers evacuated at least 600,000 Bangladeshis in the path of the storm. Many are housed in 1,800 multipurpose disaster shelters built along the coast. Relief organizations distributed seven-day emergency disaster kits of food, blankets and clothing for evacuated families.

Since 1991, the donor community, including the US and EC, has supported disaster-preparedness to mitigate the impact of tropical storms and improve post-disaster relief and reconstruction. Cyclone walls planted within trees are in place to protect vulnerable areas from storm surges. Disaster shelters on stilts housing refugees plus early warning systems and timely evacuations appear to have greatly reduced the fatalities from Sidr. It did kill 3,447 people, but this was much less than the 140,000 that died in 1991.

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Sidr
 
National response
After the storm, 18 Bangladesh Air Force helicopters and five Bangladesh Navy ships were immediately dispatched with food, medicine, and relief supplies for the hardest-hit areas.Bangladesh Red Crescent Society initially asked 400 million Taka (US$5,807,594) to the international community.As part of the Bangladeshi cricket team's tour in New Zealand, a charity Twenty20 match was held with all funds raised going to the victims. In addition, the International Cricket Council donated US$250,000 to the funds at the start of the match. The Ministry of Food and Disaster Management allocated 4,000 metric tonnes of rice, 7,500 tents, 18,000 blankets, and 30 million Taka (US$435,569) in relief grants. About 13,000 housing packages, consisting of iron sheets for roofing and family kits were prepared for immediate distribution. A special 350 million Taka (US$5,081,645) fund for housing was established by November 22, 2007. At that time, 732 medical teams were deployed to the affected areas.
 
International Response: Just some of the international response is listed below-
    Funding $US
Switzerland emergency assistance 1200000
UK Foods, water, medicine 163000
USA Shelter, water, sanitation, medicine, hygiene, US Military Aid mission- formed by USS Tarawa, USS Kearsarge and stayed 1 month in cyclone affected area. 3159353
Post-storm diseases
People of the cyclone affected area experienced severe health problems such as diseases like diarrhea, which spread due to shortage of drinking water.[40] The landfall of Sidr had followed the devastation caused by consecutive floods earlier in 2007.[41] By January 15, 2008, the World Health Organization (WHO) reported that 44 people had Jaundice, 3,572 had Diarrhoea, 3,210 had Pneumonia, 7,538 were suffering from a skin disease, 2,309 had eye infections, and 10,349 had Typhoid Fever. To help reduce further spreading of the diseases, the Government of Norway provided the WHO with four water treatment plants to be used in areas affected by Sidr
Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Sidr
 
Assessment of the US hurricane hazard management policy.
1. Balance of coverage of the different stages – prevention, immediate emergency measures, reconstruction and restoration of services, long-term measures.
Has the US learnt the harsh lessons of New Orleans? Failure to prevent and chaotic slow initial response at all levels of government including presidential.

The ramifications of the bungled response to Katrina are still felt two years later in the US, both politically and by the people living in New Orleans and the Gulf Coast.

It has quickly become clear that the White House has no intention of letting events unravel in a similarly chaotic - and public - fashion in California.

Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff and David Paulison, head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema), are already on the scene.

"What we see now that we did not see during Hurricane Katrina is a very good team effort from the local, the state and the federal government and across the federal agencies," Mr Paulison said.

President George W Bush wants to "witness first-hand" the situation and is due to visit on Thursday, as well as swiftly pledging federal aid to Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger.

After Katrina, he was widely criticised for merely flying over the hurricane-affected areas two days later on his way back from his holiday in Texas to Washington DC.

Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/7060886.stm
News report about the Federal response to California wildfires compared to earlier response to Hurricane Katrina.
 
 
Video: Horizon
 
The Work of FEMA on recovery after Katrina (September 2009)  http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/fema_louisiana_progress_report_august2009.pdf 

 

Hurricane Katrina devastated Southern University at New Orleans. FEMA has obligated more than $73 million to help the school rebuild.

 

Source: http://www.fema.gov/medialibrary/media_records/1254 Has Obama's presidency speeded up FEMA's respnse?
 

Assess the effectiveness of strategies used to manage the effects of hazards associated with low pressure. (1.6) [25] Sample Assessment Papers 2009

Candidates should:

(i) show a knowledge of the damaging effects of the hazards associated with low pressure;

(ii) show an understanding of the strategies employed to manage the effects;

(iii) give an assessment of the effectiveness of the above strategies.

Candidates need to refer to the effects of hazards associated with low pressure (cyclonic) situations. The effects discussed are likely to be both environmental and human (demographic, economic and social).

When discussing the measures taken to reduce the impacts of hazards associated with low pressure systems (hurricanes and tornadoes in tropical climates) (storms in temperate climates), candidates may present logically sequenced points progressing from monitoring, prediction and warning, immediate response to lessen the impact once it has occurred to long-term planning.

Candidates need to assess the effectiveness of the measures discussed. Measures may be evaluated on the basis of the extent to which they reduce the impact of an event, by comparison with strategies in place elsewhere to meet a similar hazard event, on the basis of advances in strategy policies and implementation of them compared to those in place prior to the last hazard event or an evaluation on the basis of the finances and human resources available to the agencies involved in the formulation and implementation of measures at a local, regional, national or international level. Where there is limited evaluative comment, the answer is unlikely to reach 'good' and to reach 'very good' a well-balanced answer with some depth of discussion is needed.